- Output volumes were broadly unchanged in the quarter to July (weighted balance of -3%, from +3% in the three months to June). Firms expect volumes to grow in the next three months (+25%), the strongest expectations since March 2022.
- Output rose in 6 out of 17 sub-sectors, with growth in the motor vehicles & transport equipment, chemicals, mechanical engineering and electrical goods sub-sectors offsetting declines in furniture & upholstery and metal manufacturing sub-sectors.
- Total new orders fell in July, at a similar pace to the previous quarter (balance of -9% from -6% in April). Domestic orders fell through the quarter (-15% from -6%), while the volume of new export orders was broadly unchanged (+3% from -14%). Manufacturers expect total new orders to be essentially unchanged over the next three months.
- Business sentiment fell in July, after rising in April for the first time in nearly three years (balance of -9% from +9% in April). Export optimism for the year was flat after rising last quarter (0% from +6%).
- Investment intentions for the year ahead generally strengthened compared with April. Manufacturers expect to raise investment in product & process innovation (a balance of +18% was the strongest since January 2022, up from +15% in April), in training & retraining (+7%, from +1%), and in plant & machinery (+6%, from +2%). Investment in buildings is set to fall (-11%, from -3%).
- The main constraint on investment was uncertainty about demand (cited by 44% of manufacturers), followed by inadequate net return (35%), a shortage of labour (20%), and a shortage of internal finance (19%). Concerns around the cost of finance have retreated from a 33-year high set in January (excluding the pandemic period) but remain double the long run average (10%).
- Average costs rose rapidly in the quarter to July (balance of +52%, from +39% in April; long-run average of +18%). Costs growth is expected to remain elevated in the quarter to October (+36%).
- Average domestic prices increased over the three months to July (balance of +15%, from +10% in April). Export price inflation also accelerated from April (+22% from +9%, and the fastest pace in over a year). Both domestic and export price growth are expected to slow in the next three months (+2% and +6%, respectively).
- Stocks of work in progress (balance of +4%) rose marginally in the quarter to July, while stocks of finished goods (+2%) and of raw materials (-1%) were broadly stable.
- Manufacturers expect stocks of work in progress (+13%) to rise at the fastest pace in over two years during the next three months, with stocks of raw materials (+7%) and of finished goods (+5%) also set to increase.
- Numbers employed were unchanged in the quarter to July, after falling in April (balance of 0% from -6%). Firms expect numbers employed to rise modestly in the next three months (+16%).
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Revenue and profits grow at Derby recruitment group
Revenue and profits are on the rise at RTC Group, the Derby-based engineering and technical recruitment group, according to unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2024.
The first half of 2024 saw revenue increase to £49m, up 7.5% compared to the same period in 2023. Profit before tax, meanwhile, grew to £1.2m from £1m.Andy Pendlebury, Chairman and Chief Executive, said: “I am delighted to announce that the first half of 2024 saw a further enhancement in performance for the Group, building upon the success achieved in 2023.
“Throughout the first half of 2024, we have continued to make investments in training our people, increasing our headcount, and developing our systems and technology solutions to drive productivity, elevate our client offerings, and secure future business opportunities.
“Our balance sheet remains in a very healthy position with no term debt and no borrowings other than lease liabilities.
“Whilst we are in the early days of a new Government, which inevitably brings some uncertainty regarding long-term strategy, we are encouraged by the proposed 10-year infrastructure plan outlined in Labour’s manifesto, which includes significant investment in the sectors where we are focused.
“Combined with anticipated improvements in the UK’s macro-economic conditions, such as lower inflation and subsequently decreasing interest rates, we are optimistic that this will create an environment where our business can continue to grow.
“Despite the ongoing uncertainties facing the recruitment sector, we remain encouraged and optimistic about our short, medium, and long-term prospects.”
Ground engineering contractor delivers “resilient” results
Van Elle, the ground engineering contractor, has “delivered a resilient performance” in the year ended 30 April 2024 (FY2024).
Results for the year show growth in pre-tax profit, which stood at £5.6m, up from £5.4m in the year prior. Revenue, however, decreased from £148.7m in the year prior to £139.5m, though this was in line with expectations.The business was hit by the impact of a softer housing market, though partially mitigated this through a diverse customer base including partnership and affordable housing customers.
Looking ahead, market conditions are expected to remain challenging throughout the remainder of calendar year 2024.Mark Cutler, Chief Executive, said: “Van Elle delivered a resilient performance in the year, benefitting from the breadth of its capabilities and end markets, despite very challenging market conditions across most sectors.
“The Group has continued to expand its offering, grow geographically and enter new sectors, through the acquisition of Rock & Alluvium, its strategy for the water and energy sectors, and the establishment of rail operations in Canada.
“We start the new financial year with a strong order book and multiple framework agreements. Our focus on key customer partnerships and strategic markets is expected to deliver significant growth opportunities over the medium term.”
Five-step plan revealed to supercharge small business exports
- A cross-Whitehall approach to policy: International trade should be made a priority for all Government departments. Domestic and trade policies must be aligned to ensure the UK maximises the benefits from Free Trade Agreements. This means other Whitehall departments and regulators need to be more aware of trade goals and actively contribute to trade negotiations.
- An open relationship with business: Legislation and trade deals should be developed through open and honest discussions that prioritise the needs of small businesses. A Senior Exports Council should also be created to ensure continuous and meaningful engagement with the business community.
- Global leadership on digital trade: The UK should lead the way on paperless trading across the global supply chain.
- Open to export from day one: SMEs should receive immediate support when they start trading internationally, including robust expert guidance and efforts to overcome mindset-related barriers.
- Addressing the finance gap: Improving SME access to trade finance and reducing the financial barriers to trade.