Profit warnings down for listed Midlands companies in first half of the year
Listed companies in the Midlands issued 14 profit warnings in the first half of 2025, one fewer than the same period last year, according to the latest EY-Parthenon Profit Warnings Report.
Companies in the region issued seven warnings in the second quarter, the same as Q1 and one more than Q2 2024, when six warnings were issued.
Nationally, the number of profit warnings issued by UK-listed companies in Q2 2025 rose by 20% to 59 compared to the 49 issued during the same period last year. Over the last 12 months, nearly a fifth (19%) of UK-listed businesses have issued at least one profit warning.
Industrials and Construction sectors lead Q2 warnings
The FTSE sectors with the highest number of profit warnings in the Midlands during Q2 2025 were Industrial Support Services – which includes business service providers, industrial suppliers, and recruitment companies – and Construction and Materials, with two warnings each.
Construction and Materials also had the highest number of warnings in the Midlands for the first half of the year, with three in total.
Dan Hurd, EY-Parthenon turnaround and restructuring strategy partner in the Midlands, said: “While the region experienced a slight decrease in total warnings in the first half of 2025 compared to last year, the consistency of seven warnings in Q2 signals persistent volatility.
“The fact that the Construction and Materials sector led the warnings in the Midlands, with three in total, highlights the specific challenges facing these industries. This trend reflects a broader national narrative, where a significant rise in profit warnings indicates that many UK-listed companies are navigating turbulent waters.
“The concentration of warnings in sectors such as Industrial Support Services and Construction underscores the diverse pressures businesses are facing. This mix of performance suggests that while some companies are adapting to the current economic conditions, others are still struggling to find their footing.
“Emphasizing strategic flexibility will be vital for those seeking to maintain growth and manage risks in an increasingly challenging market environment.”
The leading factor behind profit warnings during the second quarter was policy change and geopolitical uncertainty, cited in nearly half (46%) of warnings. This marked a significant increase from just 4% in Q2 2024, and the highest percentage recorded for this cause in more than 25 years of EY’s analysis.
The proportion of profit warnings to cite contract and order cancellations or delays in Q2 remained at a record 40%. One in three warnings (34%) cited tariff-related impacts, including weaker demand, supply chain disruption, and exchange-rate volatility.
Jo Robinson, EY-Parthenon partner and UK&I turnaround and restructuring strategy leader, added: “The latest profit warnings data reflects the scale of persistent uncertainty and how heavy it continues to weigh on UK businesses. While this uncertainty has been a recurring theme since mid-2024, it has intensified so far this year – driven largely by geopolitical tensions and policy shifts – compounding pressure on both earnings and forecasts.
“While the announcement of global tariffs has clearly played a part in amplifying uncertainty, they are just one factor among broader geopolitical and policy upheaval. These pressures are often interlinked and, combined, they are having a significant effect on companies’ confidence, decision-making and spending.
“Whether the rise in profit warnings is cyclical or structural remains to be seen, and we still expect earnings pressure to ebb and flow with the macroeconomic backdrop. As companies operate in a risk and forecasting environment that is challenging to navigate, they must adopt a measured, scenario-based approach that balances both agility and strategic clarity.”
East Midlands rail projects highlighted in new Infrastructure Pipeline
The National Infrastructure & Service Transformation Authority has unveiled an updated Infrastructure Pipeline, which includes significant investment for rail projects in the East Midlands. A total of £50bn is earmarked for 29 rail schemes over the next decade, with several key initiatives in the East Midlands, such as capacity improvements and electrification. These efforts are part of a broader £530bn infrastructure programme, encompassing 780 projects across the UK.
The pipeline, published on July 17, provides an overview of current and future rail developments but does not introduce new policies. It aims to help supply chain businesses plan for future demand and invest in necessary skills and capacity. Notable projects in the East Midlands include the electrification of the Kettering to Wigston line and the ongoing East Coast improvements.
The release of the pipeline has been welcomed by industry leaders, who see it as a step towards more stable, long-term infrastructure planning.
East Midlands businesses remain positive about economic outlook, but brace for further tax increases
East Midlands business leaders have confidence in the strength of the economy and in the growth expectations for their own business – despite high operating and people costs and the expectation of additional taxes later this year, according to data from Grant Thornton UK’s latest Business Outlook Tracker.
Key indicators from the survey of East Midlands mid-sized businesses show that business leaders are optimistic about the UK economy, with 88% of respondents expressing a positive outlook.
Though UK labour statistics in June reported falling vacancies and increased unemployment – recruitment investment intentions remain strong, with 88% of businesses expecting to either increase or maintain investment in recruitment over the next six months.
Mid-market businesses regard high operating and staffing costs as a significant challenge, potentially exacerbated by the increases in employer National Insurance and National Minimum Wage contributions introduced in April.
Among East Midlands respondents, 80% said these changes had caused them to reduce or freeze hiring, and 78% said they had to cut jobs. The majority (82%) also expect further tax increases before the end of the year.
Despite these pressures, businesses feel supported by government strategy: 86% of respondents agree government policy promotes economic stability; 72% agree government policy supports business growth; 78% agree that the Industrial Strategy will support the growth of their business; 90% of the mid-market businesses expect revenue growth for the next six months to remain steady; 70% expect profits to increase in the next six months.
The positive outlook aligns with findings from Grant Thornton’s East Midlands 200 2025 report, which tracks the region’s fastest-growing companies. These 200 businesses have collectively generated over £10 billion in revenue and achieved an average profitability growth of 33%, demonstrating the region’s underlying economic strength.
Matt Buckingham, practice leader for Grant Thornton UK in the Midlands, said: “East Midlands businesses have grown used to operating in uncertain conditions. From Derby’s advanced manufacturing to Nottingham’s thriving tech and life sciences sectors, the region continues to push forward despite ongoing pressures – from global trade disruptions to shifting domestic policies.
“That’s not to say it’s without difficulty. Rising costs, particularly following April’s National Insurance and Minimum Wage increases, remain a concern. And while there’s a sense of cautious optimism around government direction, many anticipate further tax burdens ahead.
“Still, the region’s businesses are pressing on with plans for growth. Recruitment remains a priority, and we’re seeing firms respond with agility – reviewing pay structures, managing pricing, and investing strategically to maintain performance.
“These trends are evidenced in our East Midlands 200 2025 report, which highlights the strength and determination of the region’s fastest-growing companies. Despite continued headwinds, the East Midlands’ entrepreneurial spirit is clearly as strong as ever.”
French group acquires majority stake in Northamptonshire spirit company
Warner’s Distillery, a farm-grown spirit company based in Northamptonshire, has secured a significant partnership with La Martiniquaise-Bardinet, one of France’s largest spirits groups.
The partnership sees La Martiniquaise-Bardinet acquiring a majority shareholding in Warner’s Distillery.
With the backing of the spirits house, Warner’s will maximise the potential of their portfolio in UK and global trade.
Warner’s, known for flavoured gin and farm-grown botanicals, will continue to operate under the leadership of founders Tom and Tina Warner, ensuring the brand’s core values and operations remain intact.
Tom Warner, co-founder of Warner’s Distillery, said: “This partnership allows us to stay true to our roots, creating incredible drinks with real purpose, while giving us the strength to scale that mission globally.”
Fellow co-founder Tina Warner-Keogh added: “La Martiniquaise-Bardinet shares our unique United in Spirit values driven by a commitment to quality, authenticity, people and planet. We couldn’t ask for a better partner to help us take Warner’s to the next level.”
For La Martiniquaise-Bardinet, the partnership brings a dynamic new brand into their global portfolio, which includes spirits brands such as Glen Moray Speyside Single Malt Scotch Whisky, Bardinet Brandy, Cutty Sark Blended Scotch Whisky and St James Rum.
Christophe Pichambert, international director for La Martiniquaise-Bardinet, said: “We are very proud to see Warner’s Distillery join the LMB group of companies alongside our portfolio of internationally renowned brands.
“Warner’s Gin is a true gem of the English craft gin landscape with its farm-grown and distilled botanicals. Our goal will be to help Tom and Tina bring their wonderful spirit to the world, with respect for their pioneering spirit and exceptional passion.”
Warner’s were advised through the process by Brodersen & Co, Browne Jacobson LLP & Mike Hughes Advisory. La Martiniquaise-Bardinet were advised by Cortus Financial Advisors & Paris-Smith Solicitors.
Sam Sharp, partner at Browne Jacobson, said: “This is a significant milestone for Warner’s Distillery, enabling them to drive their business both in the UK and internationally, while continuing to innovate within the spirits industry. It was a pleasure to give our expertise in the industry to help another British brand expand globally.”
Breedon Group reports lower-than-expected profits amid challenging market conditions
Breedon Group’s shares dropped over 7.5% on July 23 after the company issued a trading update, warning that its full-year results are expected to fall at the lower end of market forecasts.
The construction materials firm posted a 7% increase in total revenue, reaching £815.9 million, largely due to its March acquisition of US-based Lionmark. However, like-for-like revenue and underlying EBITDA saw a decline of 3% in the first half of the year.
Profit before tax dropped by 25%, settling at £34.9 million, with EBITDA margins shrinking by 130 basis points to 14.1%. The company cited weak market conditions in the UK and adverse weather conditions in the US as factors contributing to the downturn.
Despite these setbacks, Breedon remains optimistic about the long-term outlook, citing major infrastructure programmes in the UK, Ireland, and US that will continue to support demand. The company is also focusing on strategic acquisitions in the US, where it sees significant potential in infrastructure-driven growth.
Concentrix relocates to new Derby offices
Concentrix Corporation has relocated to new offices at Cardinal Square in Derby.
The business has taken over 6,000 sq ft within Nurton Developments’ landmark office scheme, relocating its people just a short distance from its previous base.
The relocation is part of Concentrix’s continued commitment to the city. The newly leased space has undergone a significant fit-out to create a modern and accessible working environment, with Luke Torr, associate director, UK region real estate explaining: “The central Derby location was key to our decision.
“Cardinal Square not only allows us to maintain our roots, but also provides a high-quality, modern workspace that embraces an inspiring workplace culture.
“The hidden green oasis at the heart of the scheme complete with table tennis, pétanque, and outdoor meeting pods adds immense value by promoting wellbeing and supporting our goal to attract and retain talent.
“By choosing Cardinal Square, we were able to continue to anchor our presence in Derby, offering seamless access to excellent local amenities that enhance employee lifestyle. As we settle into this innovative space, we look forward to fostering an environment that propels our people forward.”
David Dyas, asset director at Nurton Developments, said: “We’re delighted to welcome Concentrix to Cardinal Square to help retain them in the city.
“We’ve struck up a really good working relationship and their decision to relocate here reflects our flexible approach to securing lettings and the ongoing demand for well-situated, high-specification office space in Derby.
“Their new offices offer room for growth and reflect their global status as an innovative and forward-thinking business who is willing to invest significantly in the future of the company and its people.”
Darran Severn of FHP Property Consultants, who acted as joint letting agent on the deal alongside Innes England, added: “There is a definite drive from occupiers seeking better quality office space across the city of Derby.
“Within the last nine months we have let over 13,000 sq ft within Cardinal Square to local Derby businesses and we have a further 2,271 sq ft currently under offer, with space for further companies looking for room to grow.”
Henry Brothers Construction to build new Community Diagnostic Centre in Nottingham
Contractor Henry Brothers Construction has been appointed to build the new Broad Marsh Community Diagnostic Centre (CDC) in Nottingham, where enabling work is due to start on Lister Gate at the end of this month.
This key stage in the programme follows the formal signing of contracts between Homes England – the new landlords of the site – and Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (NUH) – who will run and staff the centre.
The new NHS facility is one of a number of CDCs being funded by the Department for Health and Social Care, which aim to improve population health outcomes and efficiency, as well as reduce waiting times and health inequalities.
Ian Taylor, MD of Henry Brothers Construction, said: “Henry Brothers Construction is proud to have been appointed as part of the team delivering the new Community Diagnostic Centre which is being created in the heart of the Broad Marsh regeneration development in the centre of Nottingham.
“Henry Brothers has wide experience of delivering exciting public sector schemes in the health sector and we look forward to working closely with Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust to develop this CDC which will play an important role in reducing the backlog of patients waiting for diagnostic tests.”
Arup are the structural and civil engineers on the scheme, which has been designed by Leonard Design.
The CDC will open in 2026 and once at full capacity will provide up to 140,000 appointments annually. It is also expected to create 75 new jobs across a range of disciplines including consultant radiologists, radiographers, imaging assistants, physiologists and administrators. When the unit is at full capacity it will employ 135 staff.
June corporate insolvencies dip to lowest level since 2022
An unexpected month-on-month dip in the number of corporate insolvencies in England and Wales is bringing respite to East Midlands businesses and signals hope that the summer months will bring a significant boost to trade.
This is according to the Midlands branch of the UK’s insolvency and restructuring trade body R3, and comes on the back of latest figures published by the Insolvency Service which show that corporate insolvencies decreased by 8.4% in June to a total of 2,043, compared to May’s total of 2,230, and fell by 15.9% compared to June 2024’s figure of 2,430.
R3 Midlands chair Stephen Rome, a partner at law firm Penningtons Manches Cooper in the region, said: “For the first time in many months we have seen a reduction in corporate insolvencies, now dipping to their lowest level for June since 2022.
“While a single month of data does not indicate a long-term trend, it may signal that some directors are holding back from taking formal action for now, either due to improvements in trading conditions or in the hope that the summer months will bring a sizeable increase to their business.
“It should be borne in mind, however, that the broader economic mood remains subdued. Businesses and households alike are low in confidence and, as a result, key decisions are on hold and a “wait and see” attitude is being adopted.
“With GDP growth declining for the second month in a row in May, and unemployment levels recently increasing, it remains to be seen how this economic trend will impact our region over the longer term.
“R3’s message to anyone who is worried about finances is to seek advice as soon as possible. We’ve seen countless examples of businesses reaching out too late – so many of them could have achieved a more positive outcome if they had acted sooner.
“Most R3 members will give prospective clients a free initial consultation to learn more about their situation and outline the potential options open to them to improve it.”
Market Harborough Building Society appoints head of savings and branch operations
Market Harborough Building Society (MHBS) has appointed John Vickers as its head of savings and branch operations – a newly created role.
John joins MHBS with extensive experience in financial services, having led customer-facing teams and operational functions across the sector.
In his new role, he will be responsible for overseeing the Society’s community-based branches across Leicestershire and Northamptonshire, it’s contact centre, and back-office operations. He’ll work closely with colleagues to enhance the Society’s savings proposition.
He will also play a key role in growing the Society’s presence through local engagement and its Thrive! programme, which focuses on giving back through projects that support customers and strengthen communities.
John said: “I’m delighted to be joining MHBS at such a pivotal time. The Society has a strong reputation for putting members at the heart of everything it does. I’m looking forward to building on that foundation, reinforcing our local presence, developing meaningful partnerships, and continuing to deliver a first-rate service.”
Midlands dominates UK logistics take-up
Demand from third-party logistics (3PL) providers continued to underpin the UK industrial market in the first half of 2025, with 3PLs accounting for 59% of all big-box take-up, totalling 6 million sq ft of grade-A space, and predominantly choosing the Midlands region.
New research from real estate consultancy Avison Young highlights the resilience of the logistics sector, with 3PL take-up levels just 2% below the five-year average, despite wider economic uncertainty.
The Midlands remains the most active region, capturing 61% of 3PL leasing activity in H1 2025, reaffirming its position as the UK’s logistics heartland. Since 2021, nearly three-quarters (74%) of all 3PL space has been taken in the region, underlining its long-term appeal for large-scale occupiers.
Across the wider market, prime headline rents continue to rise, particularly in the Northwest, Southwest and Scotland, where average increases reached 4% over the period.
Looking at longer-term trends, 3PLs have accounted for 43% of all UK big-box take-up over the past five years, totalling 31 million sq ft. The top ten 3PL providers alone account for 12.2 million sq ft, or 39% of that total, reflecting the scale and continued importance of the sector’s largest operators. Among the most active is DHL, while Amazon’s footprint in the period stems from a single, large-scale transaction.
David Willmer, managing director, industrial at Avison Young, said: “While macroeconomic headwinds persist, the fundamentals of the logistics market remain strong. We’re seeing sustained demand from 3PLs for modern, well-located space, particularly in the Midlands, which continues to lead the way.
“Headline rents are holding firm, with prime rents rising by an average of 4% in the Northwest, Scotland and the Southwest, reflecting continued confidence in key regional markets. The sector continues to present opportunity for both landlords and occupiers.”
