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Buyout activity across the Midlands private equity industry dropped markedly in 2023, with the pendulum swinging back from the record activity levels seen in the aftermath of the post-COVID period, according to provisional full-year data (up to 1st December) from CMBOR, the Centre for Private Equity and MBO Research based at Nottingham University Business School and supported by Equistone Partners Europe.
The 28 buyouts completed in 2023, with a cumulative value of £1.2bn, represent a dramatic fall from the two highest annual values of the post-2008 period, with deals worth £5.9bn completed in 2022 and deals worth £6.1bn in 2021. This sense of an industry-wide pause is underlined by cumulative deal value not surpassing £2bn for only the third time in the last ten years and is a similar theme to that seen across the UK and Europe.
The decline in deal activity started in H2-2022, following a record 18-month period, and continued into H1-2023, where just £0.1bn worth of deals were completed in the first six months of the year. The downward trend reversed in H2-2023 with £1.1bn worth of deals completing, providing some encouragement for the year ahead.
Dealmaking within traditional sectors such as Business Services and Industrials has held comparatively steady as firms seek value and stability in an otherwise difficult market. However, TMT and Healthcare, two sectors which experienced a remarkable pandemic-era boom, have experienced major corrections, with valuations and volumes both falling notably in the region.
Will Copeland, from Equistone’s Midlands office, said: “The full extent of the decrease in Midlands buyouts was not anticipated, but we are seeing green shoots with a rise in activity in the second half of the year. There has not been a shortage of opportunities to do deals in 2023. However, transactions have faced a number of challenges which have often resulted in the timing not being right.
“Despite this, at Equistone, we’ve experienced a record year for exits in 2023, including the divestments of Acuity Knowledge Partners and Bulgin. We have a number of assets in the pipeline to exit and anticipate new investment activity will pick up across the first two quarters of 2024.
“Looking ahead to 2024, this sentiment is echoed with Corporate Finance advisors having healthy lists of Midlands mandates, and the slowdown in private equity and debt deployment over the last 12-18 months could cycle to an increased urge for new investment and exit activity, potentially at reset valuation expectations compared to the post-covid boom.”
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East Midlands firms choose productivity, growth and investment as top New Year’s resolutions
New research from Lloyds Bank has found that two fifths (40%) of East Midlands businesses are making New Year’s resolutions to improve their productivity, as businesses signal confidence in more positive macroeconomic conditions ahead.
This optimism about the future comes after 2023 being a tough year for businesses, as they faced into high inflation and a sluggish economy.
The data revealed the top three areas where firms are focusing their attention as they head into the new year, with two fifths (39%) concentrating on developing their business, a third (32%) focusing on staff training, and another third (32%) looking to hire more staff.
As businesses take stock of 2023, many are reporting they are looking at ways to ensure they have a healthy cashflow, with more than a third (35%) of firms planning to keep a closer eye on costs over the next 12 months.
The data also shows that businesses are setting themselves up for growth, by building teams to support new opportunities, with over half (58%) expecting to hire more staff in the New Year.
With the expectation of inflation continuing to fall, more than two thirds (67%) of firms are confident that they will see their business become more profitable in 2024 compared to 2023.
Almost three fifths (57%) expect their turnover to increase in 2024. Of those expecting an increase in turnover, a fifth (22%) anticipate growth of 5%-10% and almost one in ten (6%) have eyes on growth of 11%-20%.
Dave Atkinson, regional director for the East Midlands at Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said: “It’s fantastic to see so many East Midlands businesses readying themselves for a strong year. Buoyed by a busy festive season, the country’s thriving hospitality and leisure sectors will be hoping to lay the foundations to keep momentum going as we enter 2024. “While firms will rightly be mindful of costs and where their business will benefit most from investment, it’s encouraging to see a focus on hiring new staff and developing those already onboard as routes to growth. “Having financial flexibility will be key for businesses as they expand their offering, and we will be here to help them maintain the healthy cashflow needed to unlock new opportunities.”